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What happens if a short position can't be covered?

Personal Finance & Money Asked by BCS on February 3, 2021

This question does a nice job of answering what it takes for short position to exist in the first place, how that can result in "owning" >100% of a company and what happens when shorters try to cover their short position with limited liquidity (i.e. how a short squeeze develops).

What I’m wondering is the different question (which I tried to ask here, which was closed as a dupe of the first): what happens if short sellers are somehow required to cover their position (i.e. required to buy at any price) but where there are NO shares being offered regardless of what price is offered? Every single last share is held by someone either unwilling or unable to sell it.

The details of how to construct such situation are not very relevant so I’ll try not go into them.

Note:

It’s possible the answer to my question is, "it’s never happened, the law and regulators never considered it and until/unless it does happen, there is no way of knowing what would be done." If that’s the case, then "oh well, maybe it would be fun to write a fiction book around that". But I’m kind hoping that someone knows something more definitive.

One Answer

You've gone from A to Z, skipping all the letters in between.

In order for every single last share is held by someone either unwilling or unable to sell it, someone has to acquire a lot of shares. Shareholders who acquire more than 5% of the outstanding shares of a security must file a 13D or 13G form with the SEC. This is public information and the acquirer's intent is known. As the he acquires more, it becomes harder to borrow the stock for shorting, the borrow rate also increases and share price increases, all discouraging shorters and affecting their willingness to remain short. Some shorters close their positions. You don't go from a high number of short shares to no shares available to buy in one fell swoop.

And even if the acquirer buys enough shares to control enough shares to approach what you are describing, there are always some outsiders willing to sell their shares at a higher price.

Answered by Bob Baerker on February 3, 2021

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