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The relationship between delivery percentage and share price

Personal Finance & Money Asked on November 7, 2020

I’m located in India, and am mostly focused on Indian stock markets, but I intend my question to apply generally. I don’t think my question is India-specific, so have not tagged it as such.

I’ve read various descriptions of the mechanism of how the share price changes depending on the number of shares bought or sold, but the descriptions I’ve read are quite vague, and my understanding of this is still extremely fuzzy.

The behavior I see in practices violate my most basic expectations of how this should work. Specifically, I would expect if the proportion of deliverable shares (share purchase) was less than 50% (1/2) during a day’s trading session, the share price would be lower at the end of the trading session. And conversely, if the proportion of deliverable shares was more than 50% (1/2), then the share price would be higher at the end of the trading session. But I see basically no relationship between delivery percentages and what the share price does.

Some of the descriptions I’ve read suggest that the behavior of the stock price is influenced by how much people are willing to pay for the share. But as far as I know, in practice people just buy and sell based on the prevailing market price. Limit orders do specify a price, but these are often quite far away from actual price, and if they are not triggered, I don’t see how they would influence behavior of the stock price.

I see that someone already asked this in Quora, namely

https://www.quora.com/Why-does-a-stock-go-down-despite-having-a-higher-total-bought-quantity-For-example-the-TBQ-in-Tata-Steel-for-1st-Dec-2017-was-3-95-Lakhs-and-TSQ-was-3-45-Lakhs-yet-the-stock-was-down-1-4-around-mid-day?

but the first answer didn’t explain anything to me, and the second answer didn’t even seem to be addressing the question.

I’d greatly appreciate any clarity on this, including an actual explanation of how the stock price is determined by the buying and selling of shares, assuming such an explanation actually exists. References to detailed discussions would also be appreciated.

NOTE: I just realised that this question was in part based on a misunderstanding of the meaning of delivery percentage/volume. I thought it meant the proportion of shares that were purchased, as opposed to sold. I then realised this made no sense, and in fact delivery just means to the shares that end up with someone else, as opposed to intra-day trades. This is well described here.

I’ll leave this question alone as an illustration of the dangers of asking questions about things one does not understand. Also, Bob’s answer is a good description of the process of buying and selling of shares, and clearer than most.

2 Answers

When buyers take out all of the sellers at the ask price and no new sellers come in at that price, price will move up to the next ask price on the order book. If that process continues, share price will continue to rise. And conversely, price will drop when there is excess selling pressure.

For example, stock XYZ is has a current price of $50.00 x $50.10 with a size of 8x4. That means that one or more people are offering to buy 800 shares at the bid of $50.00 (limit orders) while one or more people are offering to sell 400 shares at $50.10 (ask). Note that some brokers and web sites denote size in round lots while others denote it with total shares (8x4 versus 800x400).

Suppose a buyer takes out the 400 available shares at the ask price of $50.10 (market order) and no new orders come in to sell at $50.10. If the next seller on the order book is at $50.20 for 200 shares then the new quote will become $50.00 x $50.20 with a size of 8x2

On the bid side, suppose that a new buyer for 500 shares now appears, willing to pay 5 cents more. The quote now becomes $50.05 x $50.20 with a size of 5x2

The short answer is: Throughout the day, if a similar amount of buying and selling volume comes in at current price, there is equilibrium and price goes nowhere. If an excess of one comes in and it takes out the depth of the orders on the order book, price changes.

Answered by Bob Baerker on November 7, 2020

But as far as I know, in practice people just buy and sell based on the prevailing market price.

That is simply completely wrong, indeed, meaningless.

Answered by Fattie on November 7, 2020

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