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Isn't this graph of contango wrong?

Personal Finance & Money Asked on May 8, 2021

I found this image describing contango with the accompanying quote. I expected the graph be in the opposite direction that is price being lower today than in 1 year. Is this graph wrong?

is the pricing situation found with futures contracts where longer-dated futures consecutively trade at higher prices than the spot (current period) contracts. Usually, time premium and/or carry costs (for commodities) normally makes long-dated (further out) futures more expensive then near-term or current month futures.

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One Answer

The graph shows the price of a particular futures contract (expiring 1 year from now) over time, not the current price of various expirations. With contango, if the spot price remains constant, the futures price decreases over time, converging to spot at expiration. This decrease corresponds to interest or storage costs.

Correct answer by nanoman on May 8, 2021

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