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Is it accurate to state that an economist cannot assign a true numerical value for utility?

Economics Asked by SystemTheory on November 28, 2020

Investopedia article – What is the utility function and how is it calculated?

https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/072915/what-utility-function-and-how-it-calculated.asp

Article describes ordinal versus cardinal utility:

When economists measure the preferences of consumers, it’s referred to ordinal utility. In other words, the order in which consumers choose one product over another can establish that consumers assign a higher value to the first product. Ordinal utility measures how consumers rank one product versus another.

Economists take the utility-function concept one step farther by assigning a numerical value to the products that consumers choose or choose not to consume. Assigning a value of utility is called cardinal utility, and the metric used to it is called utils.

Article includes the following statement under limitations and benefits of utility function:

Of course, in reality, economists can’t assign a true numerical value to a consumer’s level of satisfaction from a preference or choice. Also, pinpointing the reason for the purchase can be difficult if there are many variables being considered.

Is this an accurate description of economic reasoning? Utility functions are models constructed by a particular economist who cannot assign a true numerical value?

To further develop my question, if it is not clear, in a scientific measurement there is a procedure which defines a standard unit of measure. Instruments are calibrated in terms of these procedures and then calibrated instruments are applied to assign the numbers with units in the models. Is there a standard procedure for assigning numbers to specify utils or is it constructed when the economist assigns numbers arbitrarily to the ordinal set?

Another article – Constructing a utility function:

http://planning.cs.uiuc.edu/node469.html

Unfortunately, establishing the existence of a utility function does not produce a systematic way to construct it. In most circumstances, one is forced to design $ {cal U}$ by a trial-and-error process that involves repeatedly checking the preferences. In the vast majority of applications, people create utility and cost functions without regard to the implications discussed in this section. Thus, undesirable conclusions may be reached in practice. Therefore, it is important not to be too confident about the quality of an optimal decision rule.

One Answer

I think the Investopedia article does not use clear terminology which leads to confusion.

In Economics, utility can be split across two categories as ordinal and cardinal utility.

In the case of ordinal utility assigning numeric values is meaningless. For example, if A is proffered to B, assigning 200 utils to A and 100 utils to B is meaningless because that would imply that A is twice as good as B, but the ordinal utility can only measure preferences, not intensity.

In the case of cardinal utility, which measures both preference ordering and their intensity it is completely valid to assign some value like $u(A)=200$ utils or $u(B)=100$ utils. In this case, the numerical values can be assigned and they are, mathematically, 'true' numerical values.

However, from my reading of the Investopedia article, they seem to be referring to the measurability problem. That is an old discussion in economic theory that revolves around whether utility can be actually measured in some way (i.e. can we somehow scan a person's brain to measure precisely utility).

Now from a purely practical perspective whether the utility is measurable or not we definitely cannot measure in any direct way presently. Right now we can only observe people's choices and their revealed preference which is only solid basis for ordinal utility, not cardinal utility. However, this does not mean that utility would be immeasurable. In fact, famously Von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944) in their Theory of Games and Economic Behavior argued that utility even if we cannot measure it yet is measurable. The authors argued that utility can be viewed the same way as temperature in physics. Temperature also originally could not be measured beyond just saying it is getting colder or warmer but developments in thermodynamic theory later allowed us not just to cardinally measure temperature, but even allowed us to recognize that there is actually some absolute zero and absolute units temperature (presently even Celsius scale is actually a derived measure in terms of Kelvins).

Consequently, in the view of Von Neumann and Morgenstern utility should also be measurable and their view is quite influential although not accepted by all. If utility is measurable then there is a 'true' underlying measurable utility value to any choice. Whether we actually have instruments to do the measurements or not is irrelevant for the problem.

However, from my reading of the Investopedia article I think that what Investopedia refers to is the present practical inability to directly measure utility. I cannot see any indication from the article that it is taking stance on the measurability problem itself. Economists definitely don't go around hooking jumper cables to peoples heads and directly measuring utility from their choices (yet). Consequently, it is an accurate statement from a present-day practical perspective but not necessarily valid statement from the perspective of measurability problem.

Response to second question after edit:

The issue here is that true numerical value does not necessarily depend on measurement. As explained in this article from Science Campus site:

The measurement value (which is sometimes referred to simply as the measurement) is the value given by a measuring instrument and the true value is the actual value of the property being measured.

Of course, there are no instruments to measure utility, however that does not mean that there are no true numerical values for it. In fact, as argued by Von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944) in cardinal utility there will be some mapping of the underlaying preferences on the set of real numbers. Hence, cardinal utility actually does represent the 'true' values of utility (within the vNM framework at least).

However, Investopedia is correct in pointing out that economists do not measure it when constructing utility because (presently) there is no practically viable way that would in real life make it possible to create such mapping from the unobservable preferences onto real numbers. But just because we are not able to practically make such mapping does mean it cannot exist (again in past people were unable to map the true values of temperature onto real numbers - in fact for the most part of the human history such mapping was impossible until technology and science advanced enough to make it possible).

Furthermore, of course there are economist who are pure ordinalist but from my reading of the Investopedia article they are not taking pure ordinalist position rather they mean that we are simply unable to measure utility in practical sense.

Answered by 1muflon1 on November 28, 2020

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