Data Science Asked on December 30, 2021
Background to the problem: I am estimating individual treatment effects using double machine learning model. I do not know true treatment effects for my problem.
Double ML: Given Y (outcome), T (treatment) and X ( features)
Y = aT + bX + error
coefficient a is of interest (measures treatment effect) .
Double ML procedure:
I am fitting a linear regression model (Y* ~ T* ) and none of the coefficients are statistically significant. Instead of relying on point estimates, I am computing prediction confidence intervals and p-value to check if the predicted value is statistically significant or not.
Is this approach good?
It depends on the goal of the project.
Statistical significance is more important for publishing in academic journal. For applied projects, statistical significance is less important.
Even if a model is not statistical significant, it can have value. The model may summarize the data and identify relationships. The model maybe practically important, the effect maybe of value to practitioners.
Answered by Brian Spiering on December 30, 2021
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