What is the chance of getting a Red Cabbage in year 1?

Question

I'm trying to complete the community centre in year 1. Unfortunately, there is no way to acquire a Red Cabbage for the dye bundle until year 2.

The travelling cart is the only way to get them, and that's random. Assuming I remember to check every Friday & Sunday and always have money, what are the chances I'll see a Red Cabbage in year 1?

Joachim · Answer

According to this Reddit thread, you have

a probability of 55,5% for getting at least one Red Cabbage within a year or 32,5% for getting Red Cabbage seeds once.

(As mentioned in the comments, the values used only differ insignificantly from the actual values.)
In that same thread, someone mentions using the Stardew Predictor to get an apparently good idea of what items you will get: using this you could see whether or not Red Cabbage will be available to you.

Akixkisu · Answer

You are guaranteed to get Red Cabbage in year one if you enable the correct option.
As of version 1.5, you can choose to enable the Advanced Option: Guarantee Year 1 Completable by clicking on its checkbox.
This ensures that the Traveling Merchant sells a Red Cabbage seed during the first year.

What is the chance of getting a Red Cabbage in year 1?

2 Answers

You are guaranteed to get Red Cabbage in year one if you enable the correct option.

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