Economics Asked by LazyGamer on January 7, 2021
I can solve the model in dynare but I need your help with the following problem: How does one derive a log-linearized expression for a forward-looking variable around the steady-state? For example, the price dividend ratio can be defined as
$frac{P_t}{D_t} = E_t [M_{t,t+1}frac{D_{t+1}}{D_t}(1+
frac{P_{t+1}}{D_{t+1}})]$
The goal is to derive the relation between $frac{P_{t+1}}{D_{t+}}$ and shocks / state variables at $t+1$, assuming that at $t$ the system is in steady state so $frac{P_t}{D_t}$ is the steady state value C.
If we ignore the expectation and log-linearize it, I get
$log C = m_{t,t+1} + Delta D_{t+1} + log(1+frac{P_{t+1}}{D_{t+1}})$
and clearly one can solve $frac{P_{t+1}}{D_{t+1}}$ analytically (assuming that $m$ and $Delta D$ are known functions of shocks/state variables).
But, isn’t ignoring expectation imposing that the equality hold state by state, instead of on average?
Please advise, thanks!
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