Data Science Asked by Hamza on November 27, 2020
I have time series data for every single day from last 5 years with seasonal variation and a general increase in trend. This is what my data looks like:
And I am trying to predict for every single day for 4-5 years in future. Approaches I have used currently:
What I am currently thinking of:
Separate same day of each year and fit a model to those values and then have successive predictions for the same day for subsequent years. Thus having 365 different models and then concatenating the resultant values to have the whole year and future years predictions. This way I’ll perfectly preserve the seasonality and yet accumulation errors will be minimized. So my question is:
Is this a good idea (and if it is, is there a method to do it feasibly without assessing each of the 365 models) or I should try any other approach?
Answered by Eugen on November 27, 2020
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